Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026 | ISW
Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
understandingwar.orgwas seen at the event with officials stressing economic stability for Russia Day, Zelensky's open letter calling for an immediate ceasefire on the frontline and possible in-person talks; ISW's assessment on June 12 signals a possible Oreshnik IRBM launch against Kyiv within the next 24 to 48 hours. Battlefield setbacks with continued Sumy Oblast activity; domestic security actions restricting opposition groups along the election timeline. Observers' view adds tensions at the front as it seeks to project strength.